UFC Macau: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo — Betting Preview, Odds and Prediction (May 30, 2026)
UFC Macau: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo — Betting Preview, Odds and Prediction (May 30, 2026)
The UFC returns to Asia this week with UFC Macau: Song vs. Figueiredo, scheduled for Saturday, May 30, 2026 at the Galaxy Arena in Cotai, Macau SAR, China. The event marks the opening of a new four-year UFC partnership with Macau and serves as a homecoming of sorts for Chinese bantamweight contender Song Yadong, who fights in front of a home-crowd-adjacent audience for the first time in years.
The main event pits Song Yadong (#5 ranked bantamweight, 22-9-1) against former two-time flyweight world champion Deiveson Figueiredo (#7 ranked bantamweight, 25-6-1). Both fighters are looking to re-establish themselves in the title picture at 135 lbs after recent setbacks at the highest level.
Prelims begin at 4:00 AM ET / 1:00 AM PT. The main card follows at 7:00 AM ET / 4:00 AM PT. For bettors across Asia, this event broadcasts at primetime — China Standard Time (CST) puts the main card at 7:00 PM.
UFC Macau Main Card Overview
The full main card features five bouts across three weight classes, with the heavyweight and light heavyweight co-main events adding significant depth to the card. Here is the confirmed main card lineup:
- Bantamweight (Main Event): Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo
- Heavyweight (Co-Main): Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tai Teixeira
- Light Heavyweight (Co-Main): Mingyang Zhang vs. Anthony Menifield
- Additional bouts on main card TBA
The heavyweight and light heavyweight co-mains both feature knockdown-heavy strikers, making this one of the more entertaining Saturday morning cards for combat sports fans across Asia and Europe.
Song Yadong — Career Record and Recent Form
Song Yadong (22-9-1, 1 NC) is a 27-year-old bantamweight from Heilongjiang, China. He entered the UFC in 2017 and quickly built a reputation as an elite striker with exceptional footwork and timing. Over his first 12 UFC bouts, Song went 10-2, establishing himself as one of the most technically gifted fighters on the roster.
However, his path to the top has been difficult. Over his last six fights, Song has gone 3-3, with all three losses coming against elite competition: Cory Sandhagen (split decision), Petr Yan (split decision), and most recently Sean O'Malley at UFC 324 in January 2026, where he dropped a unanimous decision to the former bantamweight champion.
What distinguishes Song at this level is his ability to stay competitive with the absolute best in the division. None of his recent losses were dominant performances by his opponents — each fight was competitive, with Song landing effective shots throughout. Against Figueiredo, who is stepping up from flyweight, Song returns to a fight he is expected to control from distance using his superior reach and striking volume.
Key strengths in this matchup:
- Longer reach and superior striking at bantamweight
- Fights in front of supportive Asian audience
- Greater experience at 135 lbs over five years
- High output striking style — averages 4.8 significant strikes per minute
Deiveson Figueiredo — Career Record and Recent Form
Deiveson Figueiredo (25-6-1) is a 37-year-old Brazilian fighter from Soure, Pará. He became a UFC legend by winning the flyweight title twice, defending it four times and cementing himself as the best flyweight of his generation. His power, aggression, and finishing ability made him one of the most exciting champions in the UFC's smaller weight classes.
In 2023, Figueiredo made the decision to move up to bantamweight, initially going 3-0 in the division with three consecutive wins. The transition appeared successful — until he ran into the elite tier of the 135-pound division. In his last four fights at bantamweight, he has gone 1-3, with losses to Petr Yan, Cory Sandhagen, and Umar Nurmagomedov. Each loss exposed the inherent challenges of an older flyweight champion competing against younger, native bantamweights.
Figueiredo's strengths remain his finishing ability and pressure-forward style. He is a dangerous submission threat and has legitimate knockout power even at 135 lbs. Against Song, his best path to victory runs through early aggression — pressing Song against the cage, neutralising the reach advantage, and working for takedowns or submission attempts.
Key challenges in this matchup:
- Age (37) vs. a younger native bantamweight
- Three losses in four fights against elite competition
- Song's movement makes cage control difficult
- Fighting away from home, in Song's backyard
Head-to-Head Analysis and Style Matchup
This matchup presents a clear contrast in styles. Song Yadong is a precision counter-striker who uses his range, footwork, and timing to pick opponents apart over 15 minutes. Figueiredo is a relentless pressure fighter who looks to overwhelm opponents physically, drag fights to the mat, and finish via submission or ground strikes.
The central question is whether Figueiredo can close the distance consistently against Song's lateral movement. Against Sandhagen — another long, mobile striker — Figueiredo was unable to do so effectively. Song's footwork is arguably even sharper than Sandhagen's, suggesting a similar dynamic.
Figueiredo's submission attempts are a legitimate wildcard. Song has not been taken down consistently at bantamweight, but Figueiredo's grappling is his sharpest weapon outside of striking. If the Brazilian gets Song's back or secures a body lock, the equation changes.
Overall, Song holds the significant structural advantages: younger, taller, longer, more active at bantamweight, and fighting in front of a sympathetic crowd. The betting market reflects this analysis.
UFC Macau Betting Odds and Analysis
Odds sourced from OddsShark and CBS Sports — aggregate consensus as of May 29, 2026:
| Fighter | Moneyline (Consensus) | Win by Decision | Win by KO/TKO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Song Yadong | -590 | +110 | +130 |
| Deiveson Figueiredo | +440 | +800 | +550 |
At -590, the market views Song Yadong as a massive favourite — you would need to stake USDT 590 to return USDT 100 in profit on Song's moneyline. Figueiredo at +440 offers a significant return for backers of the upset.
The method-of-victory odds are revealing: Song by decision (+110) and Song by KO/TKO (+130) are almost equal, suggesting the market sees Song winning across all outcomes, with a slight lean toward a finish. This reflects Song's improved finishing rate over the past year, combined with Figueiredo's durability (the Brazilian has never been stopped by strikes).
Value consideration: The implied probability on Song's moneyline at -590 is approximately 85.5%. The market may be slightly overvaluing Song given that this is an older, experienced champion in Figueiredo — not a feeder-level opponent. Song is still the correct pick, but the price is very short. If you are looking for value, the Over 2.5 rounds or Song by decision prop both offer better risk-to-reward ratios than the outright moneyline.
For W88 sports bettors, this event is fully covered across SABA Sports, BTi, and CMD Sport products. You can explore current sports betting markets on the W88 platform.
Co-Main Events: Pavlovich vs. Teixeira and Zhang vs. Menifield
The heavyweight co-main event between Sergei Pavlovich and Tai Teixeira is a striker vs. striker clash. Pavlovich is one of the most feared knockout artists in UFC heavyweight history — he won his first five UFC appearances by first-round finish. However, a 2025 loss to a resurgent Tom Aspinall slowed his momentum. Teixeira, a seasoned veteran with deceptive speed and power, is a live underdog. Expect this one to end before the horn.
The light heavyweight bout between Mingyang Zhang and Anthony Menifield is the card's Chinese-interest secondary attraction. Zhang, fighting in Macau, will have full crowd support. Menifield is a dangerous striker with finish ability, but Zhang's improved submission game and cardio make him a capable home favourite.
Prediction and Recommended Approach
Song Yadong should win this fight. His advantages in reach, movement, and bantamweight-specific experience are significant, and the venue dynamic — Galaxy Arena in Macau — only adds to his edge. The question is how he wins, not whether he wins.
The most likely outcome is Song Yadong by decision over 15 minutes. Figueiredo's durability makes a clean finish unlikely, and Song's output-style fighting typically produces wide scorecards when he is in control. Given this, the Song by decision (+110) method prop represents the most sensible approach from a value perspective compared to the raw -590 moneyline.
If you favour Figueiredo as a longshot, the most realistic path is a second-round submission or a clinch-to-ground sequence in the middle rounds. At +440, it carries meaningful risk, but it is not an impossible result — Figueiredo's grappling has threatened world-class opponents before.
Summary pick:
- Main event: Song Yadong by decision (method prop +110)
- Heavyweight co-main: Pavlovich by KO/TKO (expected finish)
- Light heavyweight: Zhang by decision (home environment, cardio edge)
For the full range of UFC Macau markets and to access W88's sports betting products, visit the Sports Betting section. New members can also claim the W88 Sports BOLA Welcome Bonus — 100% up to USDT 200 on their first SABA or BTi deposit. Previously on W88 sports previews: our coverage of the UCL Final 2026 — PSG vs Arsenal and the 2026 NBA Conference Finals provided similar event-driven betting analysis.
